Now
that Congress has finally released the details of the Medicare prescription
drug bill, it is worse than one’s remotest fears. A coalition
of fifty conservatives groups had opposed the bill for its $7 trillion
unfunded price tag, its lack of market reforms and its incentives
for employers to throw retirees on to the government plan to reduce
their own costs. Well, the trillions of liability survived the final
drafting and market reforms were few and mostly limited to impractical
demonstration tests, but billions of new subsidies were written
in at the last moment to buy off big business.
Does it surprise that it takes a month after the
Congressional vote to know what was in the bill? One of the few
truthful books on the legislative process was authored by a state
senator named H.L. Richardson and called, “What Makes You
Think We Read the Bills?” Of course we do not. It was generally
known that the drug bill would provide an employer reimbursement
for 28 percent of the drug costs spent for retirees insurance plans,
up to $1330 per employee. What the midnight language added was that
the subsidy would be calculated on the basis of both the employer
and employee health insurance premium contribution.
Get it? The employer can shift the premium costs
to the employee and still receive the whole subsidy for itself--quite
a deal. The tendency has already been for employers to shift costs
to their retirees but this new incentive will cause an avalanche.
The Wall Street Journal reported that benefits consultants were
already designing plans for the 65 percent of large firms that now
pay for senior health coverage to transfer the costs to retirees
and nevertheless rely upon the subsidies to build corporate profits.
Employers now will have the option of taking the 28 percent subsidy
without paying any of the premium costs or saving 72 percent more
by throwing the retirees entirely on the government plan. Eventually,
the government will pay for it all, socializing the remaining one
third of the senior health insurance market now in private hands.
This is not chump change for the firms. Last week
the Financial Accounting Standards Board gave permission for businesses
to book the value for these anticipated subsidies in 2003 financial
statements even though the government will not pay for another two
years. As a result, the Journal predicted that many big companies
will report big earnings gains for this past year which would not
have otherwise been possible. Gainers include General Motors, Lucent
Technologies, Dow Chemical and SBC Communications. No wonder these
businesses and others organized the Employers Coalition on Medicare
to lobby quietly for this enormous gain for their bottom line.
The hope in Washington is that no one will notice.
If the Congressmen did not care to read the bill, why should average
voters? Most of the unpleasant provisions do not kick in until after
the election, so who will know? The Democrats can hardly complain
that the Republicans are subsidizing health care and forcing retirees
into a government run plan since that is their goal. And, as Sen.
Teddy Kennedy noted, they can always make it more generous later.
GOP Congressmen will keep quiet since they are the ones responsible
and many of their constituents think they favor private solutions
rather than forcing people who want private coverage into inadequate
government plans.
No, the Republicans will not pay the price on this
enormous rip-off bill that will force seniors with private drug
coverage into a less generous government plan at higher cost to
them until the 2006 Congressional elections. The full plan not only
kicks in then, it is the kind of issue that shows up against a legislative
majority, as worked to the enormous benefit of the Republicans in
1994. Those who think the Democrats will let the GOP off the hook
before then are on drugs themselves.