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Third
Party or GOP for Conservatives?
Third party fever seems to attack conservatives
on a cyclical basis, something like a cicada rising, only a bit
more frequently. After the moderate Republicans turned on Barry
Goldwater in 1964 and helped cause his defeat, after the liberal
GOP establishment defeated Ronald Reagan in 1976, and after more
moderate candidates won the nomination over more right-leaning ones
in 1988 and 2000, leading conservatives have called foul and sought
the third party route.
They
could not have been more wrong in 1964. Senator Goldwater's defeat
was the best thing politically that ever happened to conservatism.
It led to the conservative dominance of the party platform, rules
and a large majority of candidates for at least the next three decades.
Governor Reagan overcame the supposedly all-powerful establishment
just four years after he was supposedly read out of the GOP forever
and became a two term president who moved the whole world's agenda
toward the right. As far as the two later experiences, conservatives
had their challengers both times and since when has whining become
us? In a party where conservatives represent a large majority of
voters, we could not unify on a candidate and the moderates won.
Was that their fault or our own?
An
American party is simply a framework for political organization.
Its primary voters, activists and candidates fill in the rest--walls,
ceiling, floors, platforms, rules, candidates, funding and participation.
The U.S. winner-take-all electoral system encourages two major parties,
one staking out the left and one the right of the political spectrum.
The groups representing philosophical tendencies and material interests
divide up into two broad sets of players, decide what particular
ideologies and officeholders will contest with the other side through
primaries, and then the two battle it out in November to see which
wins. The nomination process is when the conservatives and moderates
fight it out to get the bonus votes of the partyline voters in the
general election. Whichever faction secures the nomination sets
the tone for the next four years. After the nomination, it is too
late since third parties cannot win.
Sure,
conservatives will be weak at the 2004 Republican convention. Conservatives
could have united behind Steve Forbes in 2000 but they choose not
to do so. No one challenged George W. Bush for the nomination in
2004 and that is how the system works. No other way makes sense
and conservatives need a fair system when it is their turn. Paleoconservatives
argue that conservatives are doomed to always play second fiddle
to the moderates since they have the money and, therefore, conservatives
should start a third party. Ronald Reagan proved that financing
was not a barrier if the right is united. Our time will come again
and it is in our interest to preserve the two party system until
we get our own act together.
In the meantime, the battle goes on. Rep. Patrick
Toomey took on the White House, a savvy long-time moderate Republican
senator with a 3-to-1 spending advantage, the whole Pennsylvania
GOP establishment including a popular fellow conservative senator
and kept the incumbent to 50.8 percent of the primary vote. As one
reporter put it, Toomey "was brazen enough to suggest the party
is deserting the antispending, antitax beliefs that helped bring
it to power in Congress 10 years ago." Rather than the defeat
of conservatism, Toomey looks more like Goldwater as the precursor
of the next wave of revival for the principles of limited government
that made this party so successful. Toomey himself may be just between
jobs as the potential next governor of his state.
The
same Republican primary in Pennsylvania also saw a conservative
challenger to Rep. Bill Schuster, the son of a long-serving archetypal
big-spending Republican, almost overcoming long odds and a massive
spending advantage. Long time conservative activist and former GOP
nominee for governor, Bill Sizemore, reports nearby the defeat by
an underfunded conservative challenger of what he calls a Republican-In-Name-Only
who supported a large tax increase in liberal Oregon. In South Carolina,
five big-spending Republican lost primaries, including the House
leader. In North Carolina, the speaker of the state House is being
challenged by a conservative who is receiving the support of most
of the Republican contributors and activists in the state and who
is widely expected to upset the long time incumbent.
Senate
primaries in 2004 represent an incredible opportunity for conservatives
to win nominations especially in Southern states trending Republican.
Open seats in Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Colorado, North Carolina
and South Carolina all could lead to the election of conservatives
more willing to fight the establishment. Jim DeMint has just won
a critical primary in South Carolina. He is a one man army who could
make all of the difference in the world in a Senate where one person
can make an enormous impact. Think how we miss the leadership of
Jesse Helms and Phil Gramm. Jim has proven himself in vote after
vote, ideological battle after battle. He has a record that only
a few dozen can equal and none can exceed. It is easy to espouse
conservative principles when everyone is going with you; it is difficult
if the party legislative leadership or the White House is pushing
for a bad bill that they think is necessary. Jim DeMint is not afraid
to say no to his friends when necessary. In the Senate, that attitude
makes the difference between just a vote and a leader for conservative
principles.
Another
potential nominee who can make a difference is former Congressman
Tom Colburn, who is running for a Republican Senate seat in Oklahoma,
in a difficult multi-candidate primary. Some of the other candidates
are sound but Tom was the one Congressman every conservative in
Washington knew would always stand up for the right thing. He even
took a term limit pledge and had the strength of character to actually
step down and give another person a chance at his House seat. Paul
Weyrich tells
the full story about why his election is so critical for conservatives.
David Vitter in Louisiana and Bob Schaffer in Colorado are other
candidates who could make a big difference.
The
Club for Growth specializes in targeting primaries where conservatives
are challenging moderates for legislative office and can provide
many more examples of races critical for conservatives (www.clubforgrowth.org).
The conservative Congressmen who led the fight to defeat the unpopular
$8 trillion unfunded Medicare drug bill are planning a joint fundraising
committee to help conservatives who can make a difference to win
public office, especially in higher office, after they have proved
they have the guts to go against their leadership in the House when
matters of principle are at stake.
Conservatives
looking for opportunities to advance their agenda can find many
outlets for their energies in primaries within the Republican Party.
The third party route drains effort from the more critical battle
to return the party of the right to the principles of 1964 and 1980
that have made it great.
Donald
Devine, Editor. |